[Options are more expensive to transact and likely more volatile, but they enable a capped risk especially in relation to short trades. Trade stops have a gap risk where as options go to zero.]
Tagged: trading.
[Options are more expensive to transact and likely more volatile, but they enable a capped risk especially in relation to short trades. Trade stops have a gap risk where as options go to zero.]
Tagged: trading.
Rewilding Software Engineering
[Software gets built in economical and social environments that constatly change. What we call 'legacy' reflects an inability to adapt change or a lack of refactoring to match software to its new environment.]
[LLM error rate of ten percent (for example) is problematic when you don’t know which ten percent is wrong.]
Comprehension is not a nice to have. It is the scaffolding that makes safety, accountability, and learning possible
People like simple scalars, like KPIs regardless of whether they are useful or downright harmful. They have the one property that manager’s like … they are simple, because we are busy people.
I was a 10x engineer. Now I'm useless.
[There's no middle ground where you only decide to do crack on Mondays and Wednesdays.]
Let's talk about Trump, 200 billion dollars, and a promise....
[Running countries like a business means the shareholders (financial donors) are best served when the company (government) extracts as much as possible from consumers (you) while giving them little in return.]
[All states are violent by their creation and maintenance because it's intrinsic to their nature.]
Criticizing your own tribe is how you win
It’s obvious to me that criticizing your own tribe is a winning strategy. I want my friends to do this, because it will help us win. I’m giving this away as “free advice” to my enemies too, because even if they win, it still creates a world that’s better for me.
Every redundant availability zone, every warm standby in a second region runs on physical servers drawing real power and real water from those same irreversible natural systems.
X Is a Power Problem, Not a Platform Problem
the functioning of the neo-royalty is such that other governments taking actions against X will be taken as an offensive action by the US regime, that will likely trigger extensive retaliation. No country seems to be willing to be the first one to move to take action and thus take the brunt of the counter-offense of the regime.
Anatomy of an internet argument
Everyone always asks me, how do you have so much patience to engage with “these trolls/haters”. I don’t do this for them. I do this for me. I share the earth with these people we call vile. Their opinions & actions affect me greatly. Closing my eyes & ears only hurts me.
[Gold medal: convince them. Silver: get them to understand you. Bronze: understand them. Always go for bronze first.]
Anthropic negotiated moral agency constraints into Claude's training. The Department of Defense contracted for targeting capability through a third-party integrator. The model's behavior in that pipeline is not fully visible to either party, as each operates on a different layer of the same system. Anthropic sees the weights. The Pentagon sees the outputs. The integrator sees the interface. No single institutional actor has complete legibility over the full chain.
States can deter foreign armies. They have developed no equivalent doctrine for emergent algorithmic behavior operating inside their own command infrastructure.
The Repricing of the Digital Gulf
Microsoft’s refusal to issue a standard outage report for the Gulf availability zones is consistent with DoD Impact Level 5 and 6 protocols. Under these classifications, disclosing operational status during a kinetic event is considered a breach of national security, as it provides the adversary with vital BDA (Battle Damage Assessment) data.
Beijing has been waiting for this moment. Huawei’s "Cloud Stack" and China’s digital infrastructure offerings come with a different geopolitical package. If China can leverage its relationship with Tehran to guarantee that "Chinese-built" data centers will not be targeted, the Gulf states face a staggering choice: stick with a Western system that is under fire, or pivot to a Chinese system that offers a "neutrality guarantee." This would represent a total collapse of the U.S. technological blockade against China.
These facilities consume extraordinary amounts of electricity, measured not in megawatts but in gigawatts. GPT-3, when it launched, required roughly 1.3 megawatts to train. Next-generation frontier models are projected to require facilities drawing 150 megawatts or more on a continuous basis — the equivalent of powering a mid-sized city. At that scale, the constraint is no longer silicon. It is power.
Almost every watt consumed by a processor ultimately becomes heat. A large AI cluster therefore generates enormous thermal loads that must be dissipated continuously — not occasionally, but every second of every hour of operation. A gigawatt-scale facility must remove roughly a gigawatt of heat.
Instead of building data centers first and connecting them to the grid later, developers are increasingly looking for the opposite arrangement: locating compute directly adjacent to major sources of generation. The logic is straightforward. If the grid cannot deliver power fast enough, go to where the power already is.
[Frames can displace the core issue without being true, just by being repeated.]
[Hegseth's version of legality is up to the Pentagon as end user. Anthropic should provide capability, whereas the state determines its usage limits.]
[The new criteria for AI systems in military to process intelligence data, and inform decisions about targets and operations is not capability, safety, or reliability, but 'patriotism'.]
[The entire defense industry's relation with one of the most capable AI systems was structurally rewired, without legislation, review, or voting.]
a failed marketing campaign doubles as a successful research experiment we can publish, if it surfaces why people did not like thing/what the origin of the resistance was
[Email letting any server send to another with no authentication enabled universal messaging, spam, and becoming the defacto internet identity, for which its spec wasn't designed nor does it anticipate. HTTP model with servers authoritative for their resources enabled the web's openness and also consolidation into a few platforms. RSS gave publishers independant distribution but with no way to collectively curate, so algorithmic platforms filled the void. Google defeated XMPP simply by not federating when its own network had enough users so that protocol no longer served its interests.]
[Protocols can design the rules but not how the actors operate within them. Silence about purpose is a politics of non-interference that predictably benefits actors with resources to build wherever the protocols did not govern.]
if we define ATProto’s purpose by what it currently does, the answer is not “a decentralized social protocol with separated powers” but “a social protocol with architectural provisions for decentralization, currently operated as a near-centralized system.” Whether those architectural provisions will translate into actual distribution of power depends on economic and institutional developments that no amount of protocol design can guarantee.
The open protocol community has inherited two intellectual traditions, both inadequate to this problem: an engineering functionalism that treats protocols as neutral infrastructure whose political consequences are someone else’s concern, and a governance minimalism that treats any collective decision-making structure as a potential vector for the very centralization the protocols were designed to prevent. The result is a community that has developed exceptional sophistication about technical architecture and individual rights while remaining largely inarticulate about collective governance. Addressing this will require the protocol design community to draw on intellectual traditions it has not yet seriously engaged with, including Ostrom’s institutional analysis, Beer’s organizational cybernetics, and the broader literature on commons governance and cooperative design.
the same incentive structures that determine who can afford to operate at scale also determine what content those operators are rewarded for surfacing.
"Purpose not being defined gets captured by well-resourced actors" reminds me of Kyla Scan's "friction doesn't get removed, just shifted" and Rudy Fraser's "you can't design decentralized software without thinking about moderation". Purpose and consideration of the dynamics created by interfaces and systems perhaps should be part of the design process.
Cory LaChance shares his Claude story building TakeOffTrak
[With no coding experince (just Excel macros), I learned to use Claude Code and the terminal by asking Claude. When I don't know what to click, I take a screenshot and ask Claude.]
Tagged: video.
Is the story of your relationship true?
[We can still over-weigh past hurt in our relationships even after repair.]
[At any given moment, relationships contain eight combined narratives, from
- you: about yourself, your partner, and the relationship
- your partner: about themselves, you, and the relationship
- the relationship itself: about you, and your partner]
Don’t Mix Up Artifacts With Processes
predict how a person will react to all this stuff by figuring out how much of their life is spent inside of a bureaucracy. Work on your own? The bots are coming to ruin your life. Manage employee and constituent safety at a large group of harm-reduction-focused, state-funded addiction recovery clinics? “I use it for everything.”